Finance

When Is Snap Getting Cut: Latest Earnings, Guidance, and Analyst Forecasts

Snap Inc. reported its third quarter 2024 results on November 7, 2024, with revenue declining to $1.16 billion from $1.19 billion a year earlier, reflecting a 2.5 percent year-o...

Mara Ellison
When Is Snap Getting Cut: Latest Earnings, Guidance, and Analyst Forecasts

Snap's Most Recent Earnings Report and Revenue Trend

Snap Inc. reported its third quarter 2024 results on November 7, 2024, with revenue declining to $1.16 billion from $1.19 billion a year earlier, reflecting a 2.5 percent year-over-year drop. The company's daily active users (DAU) grew to 406 million, while average revenue per user (ARPU) in the Americas fell to $1.59, underscoring the pressure on ad monetization. Snap's net loss widened to $281 million, or $0.23 per share, compared to a net loss of $113 million, or $0.04 per share, in the year-ago quarter via BusinessWire.

The results marked the fourth consecutive quarter of year-over-year revenue decline, with the company's total revenue for the first nine months of 2024 coming in at $3.4 billion, down from $3.6 billion over the same period in 2023. Snap's operating loss for the quarter was $211 million, pushing the full-year operating loss to over $1.4 billion as of the third quarter. The company's free cash flow remained negative, with cash burn continuing to pressure its balance sheet and requiring close monitoring from investors as reported by Forbes.

Analyst Forecasts and the Case for a Guidance Cut

Analysts at major Wall Street firms have revised their full-year 2024 revenue estimates downward following the weak third quarter, with the consensus estimate now hovering around $4.5 billion, down from $4.7 billion at the start of the year. The average price target for Snap stock has dropped to $8.50, with several firms downgrading the rating to "sell" or "underperform" citing persistent ad market headwinds and a lack of a clear path to profitability per MarketWatch.

The company's Q4 2024 guidance, expected to be reported in early February 2025, is widely anticipated to come in below Street estimates, with analysts projecting revenue in the range of $1.1 billion to $1.2 billion. The primary drivers for the expected cut include a slowdown in digital advertising growth, rising competition from TikTok and Meta's Reels, and seasonal weakness in e-commerce ad spending. Snap's management has also flagged macroeconomic uncertainty and currency headwinds as factors weighing on its outlook on SEC filings.

Snap's Cost-Cutting Measures and Path to Profitability

In response to the deteriorating financials, Snap has implemented multiple rounds of layoffs, with the most recent in August 2024 eliminating approximately 500 employees, or about 20 percent of its workforce. The company has also reduced its marketing spend, paused non-essential product development, and consolidated its office footprint to cut operating expenses

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